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Predicting the adoption of electronic health records by physicians: when will health care be paperless?

Authors

Ford, E. W., Menachemi, N., Phillips, M. T.

Journal

J Am Med Inform Assoc

Publication Date

2006 Jan-Feb

Volume

Issue

Pages

106-12

HIT Description: EHR More info...
Purpose of Study: To estimate the rates of EHR adoption and the likelihood of achieving ÒuniversalÓ EHR use in the near future.
Years of study: 2001-2003. Varied by secondary data sources used in the statistical models.
Study Design: Other pred. analysis
Outcomes: Predicted rates of EHR use by physicians in small practices (10 physicians or fewer)

Summary:

Settings: outpatient
Evaluation Method: Statistical modeling. Three statistical models were constructed that drew on six prior studies examining EHR adoption.
Barriers: Initial costs, ongoing maintenance costs, vendors going out of business, lack of implementation of common data standards, perceived threats to physician autonomy, physician work culture.
Rates of EHR Adoption: For 2006 rates of EHR adoption in small physician practices were estimated to range from approximately 22% to 28%. 87% of all physicians in small practices were projected to have adopted EHRs by the year 2024 at current rates of diffusion.

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